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Niseko Avy Bulletin

Niseko, Hokkaido, Japan Avalanche Bulletin.

Niseko Avalanche Bulletin for Wednesday, January 2nd

Eddie Schoen

Note: this bulletin is published in the pm and effective for the following day. Be alert to differences in the forecast and actual snowfall amounts and weather activity overnight.

Backcountry Avalanche Danger Rating

  • Upper (>1000m): MODERATE

  • Mid (800-1000m): LOW

  • Lower (<800m): LOW

Current Avalanche Problems

  • Dry Loose | Likelihood: likely | Size: small

  • Wind Slab | Likelihood: Possible | Size: small-medium


One of my ski partners today summed it up pretty well: ‘That was the best thing I’ve ever skied!!’ Hope you all enjoyed the New Years Day freshies as much as we did. Allow me to share my ponderings on the backcountry avalanche hazard to ring in the new year. . . my personal observations, as well as those from a couple other colleagues indicate that the hazard level is trending downward. However, the data set is so limited, that I can’t confidently say that the overall danger level is actually dropping. I think we are still clearly in the MODERATE range, though trending toward to lower end. We’re in the middle of a storm cycle currently, with the heaviest snowfall amounts forecasted for tomorrow afternoon and evening. Expect sluffing, or dry loose avalanches, to occur on steep terrain. These are likely to be small and relatively harmless, but could knock a skier or rider off their feet unexpectedly. I’m still on the look out for wind slab problems on high, steep, exposed slopes. These may be buried under recent storm snow.