Note: this bulletin is published in the pm and effective for the following day. Be alert to differences in the forecast and actual snowfall amounts and weather activity overnight.
Backcountry Avalanche Danger Rating
Upper (>1000m): MODERATE
Mid (800-1000m): MODERATE
Lower (<800m): LOW
Current Avalanche Problems
Wind Slab | Likelihood: Possible | Size: small-medium
Loose Dry | Likelihood: Possible | Size: small
Weather is stabilizing a bit more tomorrow. Winds should be decreasing and we should see a brief break in precip (ie, little to no snowfall). This should help to further stabilize any surface instabilities in the recent storm snow. Wind slabs don’t go away so easily, so, remain alert to those. Still in the MODERATE hazard zone for tomorrow, but the trend is toward increasing stability. Looks like we’ll have a pretty nice day to wrap up 2018, with plenty of fresh powder out there to be found!
As a local guide and avalanche professional, I have chosen to share this hazard assessment in the interest of encouraging better information sharing within the local community. This avalanche bulletin is to be used at your own risk and is based on very limited data gathered by myself and other guides working for Japan Powder Connection. Please use this information in addition to other resources and take responsibility for your own actions in the backcountry. Also, please respect and abide by all Niseko Area Rules. This information applies only to backcountry areas accessed externally from area resorts. This information is published the evening before and in effect for the following day.
As always, remember that making good decisions in the backcountry takes years of practice and experience. Having the gear is a small part of the equation. Take an avalanche safety course and hire a properly trained guide so you don’t learn the hard way!
Japan Powder Connection - Professional Backcountry Guides and Instructors
Niseko Avalanche Information - Niseko’s avalanche information page. Not a ‘bulletin’ by Western standards, but Shinyasan has been doing this for 20+ years and knows these mountains far better than myself.
Snow-Forecast - Niseko Area Weather Forecast
Niseko Now - Local Weather and Conditions Summary